The upcoming Senedd election in May 2026 is set to bring about significant changes in Welsh politics. With an increase in the number of elected representatives from 60 to 96, along with alterations to the constituencies and voting system, this election is anticipated to be unique in Wales. Current polls suggest no single party will secure an overall majority, leading to a diverse representation in the Senedd. Reform UK is predicted to gain a substantial number of Members of the Senedd (MSs), adding to the dynamic landscape.
Political parties are actively strategizing behind the scenes to fill the available slots in each of the 16 constituencies. They can present a maximum of 128 candidates across Wales. The finalisation of candidate names is expected to take place once the constituency boundaries are officially confirmed in March. Notably, several prominent figures have already announced their decision not to stand for re-election, including former First Ministers and government ministers.
Mark Drakeford, the Welsh Government finance minister and a significant figure in Welsh politics, has decided not to seek re-election in 2026. As a longstanding Cardiff West MS, Drakeford has held crucial roles in the health, finance, and as the First Minister of Wales. Similarly, Vaughan Gething, the Cardiff South and Penarth MS, and former health minister, who briefly served as the First Minister before resigning, has also opted out of standing for re-election.
Lee Waters, the Llanelli MS and former transport minister, has chosen not to run for re-election after a decade of service in the Senedd. Known for his contributions to policies like the 20mph speed limit, Waters highlighted his commitment to public service and his decision to step down on his social media platform. Another key figure, Dawn Bowden, the Welsh minister for social care and MS for Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney, has announced her decision not to seek re-election to pursue new challenges and spend time with her family.
These announcements mark a significant turning point in Welsh politics as familiar faces step back from the political arena, paving the way for new leadership and perspectives in the Senedd. As parties gear up for the 2026 election, the landscape of Welsh politics is evolving, promising a diverse and dynamic representation of the Welsh population. These changes bring both challenges and opportunities for the future governance and direction of Wales.
With the political scene in Wales undergoing a period of transformation, the outcome of the 2026 Senedd election will shape the trajectory of the nation for years to come. As parties and candidates prepare for this pivotal moment in Welsh politics, the electorate will play a crucial role in determining the direction and leadership of the country. Stay tuned as the political landscape in Wales continues to evolve in the lead-up to the historic 2026 Senedd election.