‘Unlikely’ that NHS will meet 18-week waiting time target

NHS Struggles to Meet 18-Week Waiting Time Target

Trust leaders in the UK have expressed concerns about the NHS’s ability to meet the 18-week waiting time target set by the government. The leaders highlighted the need for additional investments, particularly in primary care, children’s services, and mental health, in order to address the “fundamental mismatch” between service demand and capacity within the NHS.

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According to the NHS Providers’ annual State of the Provider Sector survey, which collected responses from 171 leaders across 118 trusts, nearly all respondents (96%) are worried about the upcoming winter season. Key issues identified include delayed patient discharges, social care capacity, and bed availability.

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The Labour Government has set a target to ensure that 92% of patients receive care within 18 weeks within the next five years. This ambitious goal would require an additional two million NHS appointments annually. Currently, there are 7.6 million patients on the waiting list, with over 282,000 people in England waiting more than a year for routine hospital treatment as of August.

Trust leaders, including those from acute specialist and ambulance trusts, are sceptical about the NHS’s ability to achieve the 18-week target within the specified timeframe. The challenges lie in managing the increasing number of patients on waiting lists without significant investments in key healthcare areas.

Saffron Cordery, the deputy chief executive of NHS Providers, acknowledged the potential for progress but emphasised the difficulty in predicting whether trust leaders can meet the 18-week standard. Concerns were also raised about meeting service demands over the next year, with 79% of leaders expressing worries, an increase from pre-pandemic levels.

A report from the Institute Fiscal Studies indicated that NHS performance remains below pre-pandemic levels, despite increased hospital activity. Trust leaders highlighted significant waiting lists and a lack of capacity, particularly in community and mental health services, underscoring the challenges faced by the healthcare system.

The government’s 10-year health plan aims to shift more care from hospitals to the community, a move supported by 98% of trust leaders. However, concerns persist about the adequacy of investments in public health and sickness prevention, with 72% of leaders expressing worries about funding levels.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced a £22.6 billion increase in the health budget, describing it as a step towards reducing waiting lists. Nevertheless, Cordery cautioned that the funding must cover substantial costs, including pay rises, posing financial challenges for NHS trusts.

In light of the budget allocation and uncertainties surrounding national insurance contributions, trust leaders are mindful of the financial strain on local government partners. The potential impacts on GP services, hospices, and care homes remain a point of concern, as leaders navigate the complex landscape of healthcare funding and service delivery.

As the NHS grapples with mounting challenges and strives to improve patient care, the overarching goal remains to enhance healthcare access, reduce waiting times, and ensure quality service delivery. Despite the obstacles ahead, healthcare leaders are dedicated to overcoming barriers and responding to evolving healthcare needs effectively.